Univ. San Martín vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
SAM
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
SAM
1 - 0
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 1
BOL
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
HUA
1 - 0
SAM
43%
27%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 1
SAM
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 2
BOL
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 0
CIE
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
4 - 0
ALI
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ALI
4 - 1
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
TOT
0 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |