Apertura Ascenso MX round 8

Leones Negros vs León analysis

Leones Negros León
58 ELO 69
-3.2% Tilt -3.1%
1045º General ELO ranking 406º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26%
Leones Negros
25.3%
Draw
48.7%
León

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
Leones Negros
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.7%
Win probability
León
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Leones Negros
+22%
-16%
León

ELO progression

Leones Negros
León
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leones Negros
Leones Negros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2009
PUM
Pumas Morelos
0 - 0
Leones Negros
UDG
61%
22%
17%
58 66 8 0
04 Sep. 2009
LOB
Lobos BUAP
1 - 2
Leones Negros
UDG
60%
22%
18%
57 61 4 +1
29 Aug. 2009
UDG
Leones Negros
1 - 1
Durango
DUR
43%
27%
30%
57 60 3 0
22 Aug. 2009
GUE
Guerreros
0 - 1
Leones Negros
UDG
36%
28%
37%
56 53 3 +1
15 Aug. 2009
UDG
Leones Negros
1 - 2
Veracruz
VER
27%
26%
47%
57 68 11 -1

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2009
LEO
León
3 - 2
Irapuato
IRA
60%
22%
18%
69 64 5 0
13 Sep. 2009
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 1
León
LEO
62%
22%
16%
69 81 12 0
06 Sep. 2009
LEO
León
2 - 2
Dorados
DOR
57%
23%
20%
69 66 3 0
30 Aug. 2009
ATL
Atlante II
1 - 1
León
LEO
26%
26%
48%
69 57 12 0
23 Aug. 2009
LEO
León
5 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
61%
22%
16%
69 62 7 0