Leones Negros vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MER
0 - 2
UDG
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 0
PUM
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 0
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
UDG
0 - 2
TOR
35%
30%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
UDG
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
DEL
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 3
MOR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UAT
4 - 2
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAT
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |