Univ de Chile vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
4 - 1
UCH
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
ATS
0 - 0
UCH
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
3 - 1
UCH
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
UCH
4 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1996 |
RIV
1 - 0
UCH
80%
13%
8%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2000 |
LAN
1 - 1
RIV
27%
24%
49%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 0
IND
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
3 - 2
ATS
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 1
RIV
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |