Universidad Católica vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCE
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 2
BSC
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
LOJ
1 - 0
UCE
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
UCE
4 - 1
RIV
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LIG
3 - 0
UCE
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCE
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 3
NAC
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 3
QUI
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
EME
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |