Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
PUE
0 - 0
SWA
44%
25%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
UCH
1 - 0
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 1
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
NUB
2 - 1
PUE
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
OHI
2 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |