Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
LOT
0 - 0
UCO
29%
24%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 5
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
UCO
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
COB
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
NUB
1 - 1
HUA
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
NUB
0 - 3
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
DLS
3 - 3
NUB
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
NUB
1 - 0
EVE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
4 - 0
NUB
38%
26%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |