U. Católica vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1967 |
UCO
5 - 2
COL
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1966 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UCO
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1966 |
NAC
3 - 2
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
UCO
1 - 0
NAC
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
1 - 0
PEÑ
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1967 |
EME
0 - 2
GUA
59%
19%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
GUA
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 0
GUA
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1966 |
IND
2 - 1
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1966 |
RIV
3 - 1
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |