Segunda RFEF Grupo 5 round 1

Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Illescas analysis

Union Sur Yaiza CD Illescas
43 ELO 40
-2.4% Tilt -21.5%
5901º General ELO ranking 5379º
191º Country ELO ranking 160º
ELO win probability
52.1%
Union Sur Yaiza
24.4%
Draw
23.5%
CD Illescas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
Union Sur Yaiza
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.5%
Win probability
CD Illescas
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Sur Yaiza
+19%
-22%
CD Illescas

Points and table prediction

Union Sur Yaiza
Their league position
CD Illescas
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
10º
13
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Guadalajara
24
68
43%
Getafe B
25
66
24.5%
Tenerife B
23
65
23.5%
CP Cacereño
17
58
12%
CF Talavera
18
56
12.5%
UD Sanse
13º
13
55
16%
Rayo Majadahonda
17
53
10.5%
CDA Navalcarnero
16
51
10.5%
UD Melilla
14º
12
47
9.5%
Union Sur Yaiza
18
45
10º
10.5%
CD Colonia Moscardó
18
44
11º
10.5%
UB Conquense
10º
16
43
12º
10%
Unión Adarve
15º
11
43
13º
11.5%
Real Madrid C
16º
10
37
14º
10.5%
CD Coria
12º
13
34
15º
13.5%
CD Illescas
11º
13
34
16º
17%
CD Atlético Paso
17º
5
28
17º
35%
CD Móstoles
18º
3
16
18º
84%
Expected probabilities
Union Sur Yaiza
CD Illescas
Promotion
0.5% 0%
Promotion play-offs
11.5% 1%
Mid-table
57% 22.5%
Relegation play-offs
12.5% 8.5%
Relegation
18.5% 68%

ELO progression

Union Sur Yaiza
CD Illescas
Unión Adarve
CF Talavera
UD Sanse
CD Guadalajara
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Sur Yaiza
Union Sur Yaiza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2024
YAI
Union Sur Yaiza
1 - 1
San Bartolomé CF
SBA
67%
19%
14%
42 30 12 0
03 Aug. 2024
UDL
Las Palmas
4 - 0
Union Sur Yaiza
YAI
85%
12%
3%
42 80 38 0
23 Jun. 2024
POR
Portugalete
1 - 1
Union Sur Yaiza
YAI
32%
28%
40%
42 38 4 0
16 Jun. 2024
YAI
Union Sur Yaiza
1 - 1
Portugalete
POR
56%
23%
22%
42 37 5 0
08 Jun. 2024
YAI
Union Sur Yaiza
3 - 0
Panadería Pulido
PAN
60%
21%
18%
42 34 8 0

Matches

CD Illescas
CD Illescas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
LEG
Leganés B
0 - 0
CD Illescas
ILL
35%
27%
38%
41 39 2 0
24 Aug. 2024
ILL
CD Illescas
0 - 1
CD Móstoles
CDM
48%
26%
26%
41 34 7 0
22 Aug. 2024
ILL
CD Illescas
0 - 0
UD Sanse
SSR
14%
22%
65%
41 56 15 0
15 Aug. 2024
CSP
CS Puertollano
2 - 0
CD Illescas
ILL
38%
25%
36%
42 38 4 -1
13 Aug. 2024
ILL
CD Illescas
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano B
RVB
64%
22%
14%
42 22 20 0