Segunda RFEF Grupo 5 round 1

Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Illescas analysis

Union Sur Yaiza CD Illescas
43 ELO 40
-2.4% Tilt -21.5%
5948º General ELO ranking 5460º
192º Country ELO ranking 164º
ELO win probability
52.1%
Union Sur Yaiza
24.4%
Draw
23.5%
CD Illescas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
Union Sur Yaiza
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.5%
Win probability
CD Illescas
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Sur Yaiza
-9%
-22%
CD Illescas

Points and table prediction

Union Sur Yaiza
Their league position
CD Illescas
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
15º
15º
17
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Guadalajara
40
74
77.5%
Getafe B
34
65
26.5%
Tenerife B
31
62
21.5%
CP Cacereño
31
62
16.5%
CF Talavera
33
61
23.5%
Rayo Majadahonda
27
55
27%
UD Sanse
15º
17
48
14.5%
UD Melilla
23
48
11.5%
CDA Navalcarnero
12º
21
46
11.5%
Unión Adarve
10º
22
44
10º
7%
UB Conquense
24
43
11º
14%
CD Colonia Moscardó
24
43
12º
15%
Real Madrid C
14º
19
41
13º
10%
CD Coria
11º
21
40
14º
13%
Union Sur Yaiza
13º
20
39
15º
12.5%
CD Illescas
16º
17
33
16º
34.5%
CD Atlético Paso
18º
6
22
17º
39.5%
CD Móstoles
17º
9
22
18º
52%
Expected probabilities
Union Sur Yaiza
CD Illescas
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0.5%
Mid-table
42.5% 11%
Relegation play-offs
14.5% 4%
Relegation
43% 84.5%

ELO progression

Union Sur Yaiza
CD Illescas
Rayo Majadahonda
UB Conquense
CD Coria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Sur Yaiza
Union Sur Yaiza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2024
YAI
Union Sur Yaiza
1 - 1
San Bartolomé CF
SBA
67%
19%
14%
42 30 12 0
03 Aug. 2024
UDL
Las Palmas
4 - 0
Union Sur Yaiza
YAI
85%
12%
3%
42 80 38 0
23 Jun. 2024
POR
Portugalete
1 - 1
Union Sur Yaiza
YAI
32%
28%
40%
42 38 4 0
16 Jun. 2024
YAI
Union Sur Yaiza
1 - 1
Portugalete
POR
56%
23%
22%
42 37 5 0
08 Jun. 2024
YAI
Union Sur Yaiza
3 - 0
Panadería Pulido
PAN
60%
21%
18%
42 34 8 0

Matches

CD Illescas
CD Illescas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
LEG
Leganés B
0 - 0
CD Illescas
ILL
35%
27%
38%
41 39 2 0
24 Aug. 2024
ILL
CD Illescas
0 - 1
CD Móstoles
CDM
48%
26%
26%
41 34 7 0
22 Aug. 2024
ILL
CD Illescas
0 - 0
UD Sanse
SSR
14%
22%
65%
41 56 15 0
15 Aug. 2024
CSP
CS Puertollano
2 - 0
CD Illescas
ILL
38%
25%
36%
42 38 4 -1
13 Aug. 2024
ILL
CD Illescas
2 - 0
Rayo Vallecano B
RVB
64%
22%
14%
42 22 20 0