Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
12º
12º
0
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 64 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 62 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 62 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 60 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 59 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 56 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 51 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 50 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 49 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 43 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 28 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 26 |
18º
|
30.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
30% | 84% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
SBA
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
4 - 0
YAI
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
YAI
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
POR
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
3 - 0
PAN
60%
21%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 1
CDM
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
ILL
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 0
SSR
14%
22%
65%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CSP
2 - 0
ILL
38%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 0
RVB
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |