Union Sur Yaiza vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
10º
10º
13
6º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 70 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 64 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 64 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 56 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 54 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 52 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 50 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 49 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 45 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 43 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 42 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 41 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 39 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 27 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 16 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
25.5% | 75% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
SBA
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
4 - 0
YAI
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 80 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
YAI
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
POR
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
3 - 0
PAN
60%
21%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 1
CDM
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
0 - 0
ILL
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
0 - 0
SSR
14%
22%
65%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
CSP
2 - 0
ILL
38%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
2 - 0
RVB
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |