Union Saint-Gilloise vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Gilloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 2
GNK
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
ANT
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
UNI
23%
23%
54%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 0
LUG
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KVM
4 - 0
UNI
19%
22%
60%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
TFC
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 2
CLE
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
TFC
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
1 - 1
PSG
18%
20%
62%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 2
TFC
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |