Unión Molinense B vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 0
UMO
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UMO
2 - 1
ABA
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RAA
1 - 1
UMO
73%
17%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
JUM
1 - 0
UMO
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UMO
0 - 0
CHU
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 0
JUM
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CHU
1 - 0
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
UDL
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PLU
3 - 2
VIL
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
YEC
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |