Union club vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+165%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
MDC
22%
19%
60%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAM
9%
15%
76%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
BUE
2 - 0
UNI
74%
16%
10%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
ADC
44%
22%
35%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
SAM
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ROB
1 - 3
CAS
30%
21%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SRO
3 - 4
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
LIE
19%
20%
62%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JDM
6 - 0
CAS
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |