UC Ceares vs EI San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
16º
8º
21
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 85 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 71 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 49 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 45 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 43 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 40 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 36 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 32 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
39.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 14 |
18º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CEA
0 - 3
CAU
25%
26%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
CEA
15%
21%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CEA
2 - 2
SPB
26%
27%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
URR
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
CEA
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
EI San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COL
2 - 2
ESM
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 0
COV
11%
18%
72%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 2
ESM
60%
23%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 1
LEN
48%
26%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 0
ESM
36%
27%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |