Unión La Calera vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CDM
3 - 1
ULC
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ULC
1 - 1
NTA
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
ULC
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ULC
1 - 1
COQ
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 0
ULC
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
USF
47%
25%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LOT
1 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
SWA
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
COQ
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |