Union Berlin II vs Optik Rathenow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
CZJ
1 - 3
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MEU
1 - 1
UNI
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 3
GER
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BAK
1 - 2
UNI
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
ZWI
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
OPT
1 - 4
GER
39%
25%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BAK
0 - 4
OPT
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
OPT
0 - 3
ZWI
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AUE
0 - 2
OPT
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
OPT
0 - 1
LOK
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |