Union Berlin II vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIK
2 - 3
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 3
UNI
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 1
CZJ
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BUD
0 - 2
UNI
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
AUE
1 - 3
BAK
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIK
0 - 0
AUE
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AUE
4 - 2
WAC
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HER
6 - 0
AUE
54%
22%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AUE
0 - 2
ZWI
40%
26%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |