União Santarém vs Sacavenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
CAL
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 0
USA
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
SCP
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
ESA
15%
20%
65%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sacavenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 0
SAC
49%
27%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
SIN
46%
27%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
OEL
2 - 3
SAC
75%
18%
7%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAC
3 - 0
LOU
42%
28%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 0
SAC
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |