URT vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
URT
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ATM
3 - 0
URT
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
URT
1 - 1
ATM
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 2
URT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
URT
2 - 1
UBE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 0
AUD
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ITU
2 - 2
GOI
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
ITU
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 3
ITU
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ITU
1 - 1
IPO
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |