União Madeira vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ESP
2 - 0
UNM
59%
22%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1998 |
UNM
1 - 2
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
3 - 0
UNM
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
UNM
1 - 2
UNI
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
MOR
4 - 1
UNM
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
PEN
1 - 1
EST
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
ALV
5 - 1
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
PEN
0 - 1
BMA
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
ACV
0 - 3
PEN
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
PEN
3 - 1
TOR
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |