União de Leiria vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
UDL
0 - 0
GAF
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UDL
0 - 3
AVE
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
UDL
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UDL
3 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 2
LUS
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
TON
0 - 1
LUS
85%
11%
3%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
LUS
49%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 2
RDA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |