União de Leiria vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 4
UDL
24%
25%
50%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 1
MOU
68%
21%
12%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 1
COV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
1DE
0 - 2
UDL
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 1
BEN
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
COV
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
1DE
0 - 1
CAS
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
BEN
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PRA
1 - 0
CAS
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
CAS
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |