União Barbarense vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 3
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAO
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
PPE
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COR
3 - 0
UNI
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATL
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
SAO
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAO
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
3 - 4
SAO
45%
25%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |