Ulm vs Linx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
ULM
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
AST
1 - 1
ULM
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ULM
2 - 0
FRE
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
HEI
1 - 4
ULM
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ULM
5 - 0
SCH
91%
7%
2%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Linx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
FRE
3 - 3
LIN
65%
20%
14%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
LIN
2 - 1
VFR
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 1
LIN
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
AST
4 - 0
LIN
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 1
FRE
26%
26%
49%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |