Ullern vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SSK
1 - 1
ULL
49%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KVI
2 - 0
ULL
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ULL
2 - 0
NOT
50%
23%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
ULL
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ULL
8 - 0
SJI
58%
21%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
FFC
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ORN
1 - 1
VAR
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 2
KVI
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EGE
1 - 1
VAR
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
3 - 1
SJI
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |