Ullern vs Oppsal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
11º
9º
33
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 0
ULL
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 1
BAR
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 0
ULL
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ULL
2 - 2
AIF
86%
9%
4%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
0 - 1
ULL
43%
21%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Oppsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OPP
2 - 1
FRI
8%
14%
78%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GOF
3 - 2
OPP
42%
21%
37%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
OPP
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OPP
0 - 1
BAR
21%
20%
59%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SKE
4 - 2
OPP
30%
21%
49%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |