Uganda U20 vs Ethiopia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 1
NGA
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 0
SSD
92%
7%
1%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CGO
2 - 2
UGA
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
UGA
2 - 1
CTA
92%
7%
1%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GHA
2 - 0
UGA
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ethiopia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SDN
2 - 1
ETH
18%
19%
64%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
ETH
2 - 0
YIB
83%
12%
6%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BDI
1 - 0
ETH
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 2
BDI
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
GHA
4 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |