Uganda Revenue Authority vs Gaddafi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
KCC
1 - 0
URA
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JIN
1 - 3
URA
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 3
URA
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
URA
1 - 0
KCC
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
GAD
1 - 1
URA
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
WAK
4 - 1
GAD
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
GAD
1 - 0
WAK
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
GAD
1 - 1
URA
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
MCF
0 - 1
GAD
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
GAD
2 - 2
OND
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |