Uganda Police vs Paidha Black Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
BUL
2 - 1
UGA
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SOA
1 - 0
UGA
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
SCV
1 - 1
UGA
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
KCC
17%
25%
59%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
EXP
0 - 0
UGA
40%
28%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paidha Black Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
PBA
0 - 2
URA
24%
28%
48%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
MCF
2 - 1
PBA
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
MFC
3 - 0
PBA
48%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
PBA
2 - 0
NFC
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
SCV
2 - 1
PBA
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |