Uganda Police vs Express SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
WAK
1 - 2
UGA
57%
22%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 1
UGA
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
UGA
4 - 0
SOA
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
KCC
3 - 2
UGA
80%
14%
7%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
JIN
2 - 0
EXP
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
URA
0 - 0
EXP
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SOA
1 - 2
EXP
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
EXP
1 - 3
KCC
19%
26%
56%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
EXP
2 - 2
MFC
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |