UPDF vs Kyetume analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
3 - 0
UPD
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
AHS
15%
19%
65%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
AHS
3 - 2
UPD
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UPD
0 - 3
VIP
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
UPD
0 - 0
WAK
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kyetume
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
BUL
1 - 1
KYE
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
EXP
1 - 0
KYE
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
KYE
2 - 2
EXP
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
KYE
0 - 3
UGA
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
KYE
0 - 1
MYD
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |