Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 1-0
Udinese vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
UDI
1 - 1
VNZ
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
BAR
1 - 1
UDI
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
FIO
1 - 0
UDI
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1998 |
LEV
1 - 0
UDI
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
UDI
2 - 0
SAL
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VIC
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
VIC
1 - 1
JUV
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
VIC
1 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
PIA
2 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
VIC
3 - 0
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |