Udinese vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
VIC
2 - 2
UDI
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
UDI
2 - 0
LEC
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
LAZ
0 - 1
UDI
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
INT
1 - 0
UDI
75%
15%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
UDI
2 - 1
ROM
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 1
JUV
46%
21%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 0
ACM
24%
23%
53%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1961 |
TOR
2 - 1
ACM
22%
21%
57%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 1
SAM
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |