Serie A round 13

Udinese vs Fiorentina analysis

Udinese Fiorentina
81 ELO 87
4.9% Tilt 6.1%
133º General ELO ranking 42º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
36%
Udinese
26.2%
Draw
37.8%
Fiorentina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
Udinese
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.8%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Udinese
+4%
+6%
Fiorentina

ELO progression

Udinese
Fiorentina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Udinese
Udinese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 1996
UDI
Udinese
1 - 4
Juventus
JUV
22%
24%
54%
81 91 10 0
08 Dec. 1996
ACM
Milan
2 - 1
Udinese
UDI
70%
19%
11%
81 90 9 0
01 Dec. 1996
UDI
Udinese
3 - 1
Parma
PAR
38%
27%
35%
80 87 7 +1
17 Nov. 1996
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 0
Udinese
UDI
44%
26%
30%
81 79 2 -1
03 Nov. 1996
UDI
Udinese
2 - 1
Reggiana
REG
66%
21%
13%
81 75 6 0

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 1996
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 1
Perugia
PRG
79%
14%
7%
87 74 13 0
01 Dec. 1996
ROM
Roma
3 - 3
Fiorentina
FIO
56%
23%
20%
87 88 1 0
24 Nov. 1996
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 1
Piacenza
PIA
78%
15%
7%
87 79 8 0
17 Nov. 1996
INT
Inter
2 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
53%
25%
22%
87 88 1 0
03 Nov. 1996
PAR
Parma
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
47%
26%
27%
87 87 0 0