Udinese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 1
ALJ
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
UDI
0 - 0
MID
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 0
POR
88%
10%
2%
|
79 | 41 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
AKB
1 - 2
UDI
30%
26%
43%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
FEL
0 - 6
UDI
6%
14%
80%
|
79 | 18 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
ASG
2 - 2
SPE
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
MAC
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 0
SPE
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
TRA
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |