Pavia U19 vs Atarfe Industrial U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
53.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
13º
30
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
4 - 2
PAV
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAV
4 - 2
ELE
30%
21%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAV
1 - 1
UDM
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CFR
1 - 0
PAV
38%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 2
PAV
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atarfe Industrial U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ATA
0 - 0
CFR
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAM
1 - 0
ATA
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATA
3 - 2
UCD
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CDO
1 - 2
ATA
11%
16%
72%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATA
3 - 2
ELE
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |