UD Sur U19 vs Victoria CF U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
15º
11º
14
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 73 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 66 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 64 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 54 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 48 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 42 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 39 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 33 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 32 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 28 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 25 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 25 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 24 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 22 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
REA
6 - 0
UDS
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 0
VIC
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 1
PUE
56%
21%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
UDS
64%
20%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UDS
2 - 1
CHA
68%
18%
15%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Victoria CF U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 2
CDP
25%
20%
55%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 0
VIC
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
VIC
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
4 - 0
PUE
41%
22%
38%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LEO
4 - 1
VIC
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |