UD Santa Marta vs CD Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
16º
11º
6
17º
18º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 75 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 66 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 63 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 60 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 53 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 51 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 49 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 46 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 46 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 45 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 34 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 33 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 29 |
18º
|
47% | |
|
|
19º
|
6 | 18 |
19º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LEO
4 - 3
STM
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
STM
3 - 3
CAT
21%
23%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
CAZ
3 - 3
STM
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 2
STM
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 2
STM
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
CD Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CDL
0 - 4
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CFB
1 - 0
CDL
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 3
CDM
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
CDL
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
0 - 2
LVC
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |