UD Santa Marta vs DiocesÁvila - UCAV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 2
STM
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 1
STM
49%
25%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAB
2 - 1
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
PAL
25%
25%
49%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SDA
2 - 0
STM
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
DiocesÁvila - UCAV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
NUM
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COL
0 - 2
TOR
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 1
COL
75%
15%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
CAB
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |