Las Palmas vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
20º
15º
29
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 90 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 89 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 78 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 72 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 65 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 60 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 56 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 53 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 52 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 50 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 49 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 47 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
19º
|
10 | 40 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 38 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 37 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 37 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 35 |
18º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 32 |
19º
|
18.5% | |
|
20º
|
9 | 32 |
20º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 22% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 44.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
UDL
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 1
RMA
7%
14%
79%
|
81 | 99 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LEG
2 - 1
UDL
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UDL
2 - 2
SEV
24%
26%
50%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 0
UDL
86%
10%
3%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
ATM
31%
25%
44%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
VCF
57%
24%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATH
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 1
GET
63%
22%
15%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STU
4 - 0
ATH
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |