UD Oliveirense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SCP
5 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
4 - 1
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 1
POR
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
VSC
4 - 2
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
VAR
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
ATL
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
OLH
1 - 0
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
VSC
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |