UD Oliveirense vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 2
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 1
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
VIZ
2 - 1
OLI
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIZ
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
FEI
2 - 1
CAS
79%
16%
5%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 6
BEN
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LEX
2 - 2
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ACV
1 - 0
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |