Fuerteventura vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
UDF
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UDF
0 - 2
CIU
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LPA
1 - 2
UDF
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
UDF
1 - 2
ATB
37%
26%
36%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 0
UDF
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 3
RMC
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 1
LAN
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LAN
0 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
LAN
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LAN
3 - 1
IMP
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |