UD Castellonense vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castellonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
UDC
21%
26%
53%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UDC
2 - 0
CAN
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SDS
0 - 2
UDC
45%
26%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UDC
1 - 1
ONT
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TAV
4 - 2
UDC
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
UDC
40%
24%
36%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 1
DEN
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
JAV
42%
24%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOL
1 - 0
DEN
49%
24%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEN
36%
25%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |