Ud Bornense vs Pago San José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ud Bornense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 1
UDB
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UDB
3 - 2
ALM
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
XER
3 - 2
UDB
36%
23%
41%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDB
3 - 1
ELB
45%
23%
32%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 1
UDB
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pago San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 4
FAC
50%
22%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 7
PAG
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 2
ALM
44%
23%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
XER
2 - 3
PAG
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
ELB
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |