UD Barrial vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Barrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
FIR
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
1 - 3
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
UDS
2 - 0
BAR
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 4
ARU
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ART
0 - 4
BAR
61%
18%
20%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
GAL
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 2
COS
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
UNV
2 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
MAS
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
COS
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |