UD Arroyofresno vs Unión Zona Norte B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
37%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+190%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Arroyofresno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RDP
1 - 2
AYF
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AYF
4 - 3
CDB
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AUP
2 - 3
AYF
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AYF
1 - 1
CFB
53%
20%
27%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
NBO
1 - 2
AYF
12%
15%
73%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Zona Norte B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
UZN
7 - 3
MAS
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDS
2 - 4
UZN
18%
17%
64%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UZN
2 - 2
EPA
52%
20%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FUN
1 - 1
UZN
40%
20%
39%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UZN
5 - 1
UES
74%
14%
12%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |