U.D. Alpera vs Las Mesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAU
4 - 1
ALP
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALP
2 - 2
AJA
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAH
1 - 1
ALP
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALP
2 - 2
HIG
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CMG
6 - 0
ALP
77%
13%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Las Mesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LME
2 - 1
HEL
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 1
LME
50%
23%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LME
0 - 2
ATL
19%
23%
59%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 0
LME
61%
22%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LME
1 - 2
DBA
51%
24%
26%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |