Ukraine U17 vs Germany U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
UKR
7 - 0
LIE
70%
16%
14%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 2
UKR
32%
23%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
UKR
0 - 3
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
UKR
0 - 3
IRL
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
CYP
2 - 4
UKR
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
FIN
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
GER
6 - 0
LIE
85%
9%
6%
|
64 | 6 | 58 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
GER
0 - 0
FRA
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
POL
3 - 5
GER
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
80%
13%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |