UCAM Murcia U19 vs FC Cartagena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+121%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
13º
9º
28
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
3º
|
1% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCAM Murcia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
EFB
1 - 1
UCA
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 4
UCA
55%
22%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UCA
2 - 0
ALZ
40%
25%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
KEL
1 - 0
UCA
47%
26%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UCA
1 - 1
CDR
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
MUR
26%
25%
50%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALZ
2 - 2
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
KEL
20%
23%
56%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDR
2 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
ATL
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | -1 |