UC La Estrella vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
16º
16º
31
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
UCL
64%
21%
16%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UCL
0 - 0
CAL
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JER
0 - 0
UCL
74%
17%
9%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UCL
1 - 3
UDF
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MIA
0 - 0
UCL
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
OLI
23%
25%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 2
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
PLA
48%
26%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |